Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 11.694279 13.473588 15.374195 17.548938 19.961803 22.550123 25.529772
2025-01-26 9.664544 12.041535 14.734232 17.987966 21.789553 26.066968 31.218753
2025-02-02 8.229664 10.959197 14.207169 18.310372 23.305864 29.139252 36.411245
2025-02-09 7.013683 9.923921 13.543551 18.298698 24.296861 31.524532 40.796501
2025-02-16 5.763313 8.659758 12.421495 17.552058 24.243187 32.543468 43.473160
2025-02-23 4.957146 7.867217 11.796534 17.335782 24.771826 34.227918 46.956904
2025-03-02 4.224992 7.079312 11.083174 16.910181 24.950039 35.414224 49.790353
2025-03-09 3.690760 6.508178 10.602943 16.738374 25.415666 36.945482 53.072793
2025-03-16 3.174382 5.898526 10.002636 16.333358 25.507307 37.944748 55.645398
2025-03-23 2.855994 5.560492 9.766194 16.419397 26.263873 39.840150 59.445033
2025-03-30 2.545121 5.196253 9.452619 16.356766 26.783796 41.404027 62.815087
2025-04-06 2.323645 4.956978 9.309985 16.532371 27.641188 43.447771 66.883693
2025-04-13 2.115239 4.719483 9.153451 16.678263 28.463296 45.475258 71.003460
2025-04-20 1.991353 4.621780 9.216947 17.168350 29.814689 48.293569 76.304645
2025-04-27 1.853349 4.480450 9.192251 17.507551 30.938666 50.803939 81.219801
2025-05-04 1.675891 4.239600 8.973157 17.507985 31.525702 52.530134 85.035474
2025-05-11 1.416182 3.795856 8.353135 16.791891 30.938862 52.475617 86.238294
2025-05-18 1.255139 3.537078 8.046010 16.584998 31.147044 53.608442 89.196916
2025-05-25 1.088329 3.240599 7.640145 16.174930 30.996208 54.175096 91.310743
2025-06-01 0.967558 3.031379 7.382865 16.009411 31.234305 55.336954 94.332011
2025-06-08 0.837838 2.779523 7.016742 15.618658 31.068815 55.851861 96.369727
2025-06-15 0.765950 2.660935 6.911031 15.701739 31.708333 57.646563 100.396247
2025-06-22 0.688727 2.515872 6.736419 15.641319 32.091596 59.035017 103.816890